Sports betting can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets typically the “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great case in point. My partner and i analyzed typically the Western Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Florida had this edge in the match. However , My partner and i also realized that there initially were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Florida vs . Louisville
This activity offers all the indicators of being one involving the very best games regarding the year, having the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. 검증업체 was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from appearing down massive in the fourth one fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?
In the event this activity were appearing played in a good simple field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since this game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.
These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, this added in bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like substantially, but in a shut match-up such as this, that special point could make the distinction between a push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home activities.
And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since 12 , eighteen, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points each game at your home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points for every game with home. In case a person did not do the mathematics, that means considering that their very own last home damage they’ve averaged beating their opponents by means of about thirty four items per game.
Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by 13 factors per video game at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Almost all of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They also have got recent games through which they also have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still the close match to phone. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to core 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and definitely not bet at all. There will be better activities this weekend with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for the TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big they may possibly still win right after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular game, people severe regarding gambling saved money these people can put to better work with on coming games.